EU lets Germany double-stack industry energy subsidies

The Commission is quietly letting Germany double-stack energy subsidies. In 2026, eligible factories can claim two forms of state aid on the same electricity use, combining electricity-price compensation with Berlin’s newer industrial electricity price. That gives German heavy industry a lower power bill, and tests whether EU competition still rests on common rules or on who has the deeper treasury.

Berlin’s wider relief could add about €1bn to budget costs. The industrial price sits inside a German scheme worth about €3.8bn for 2026-2028, with a target near €50/MWh for eligible power use. The legal room comes from the Commission’s temporary crisis framework, which keeps emergency aid space open until 31 December 2026.

How The Discount Works

Electricity-price compensation refunds part of the carbon cost hidden inside power bills. The industrial electricity price cuts the bill directly. Germany’s gain is that firms no longer have to choose: the same unit of electricity can receive both supports, a structure German steel groups describe as a dual relief mechanism for energy-heavy users.

The arithmetic matters, but the mechanism matters more. Berlin covers enough of the wholesale power cost to push eligible use toward €50/MWh. Under the crisis rules, aid for energy-intensive companies can rise from 50% to 70% of eligible electricity costs without extra green-investment conditions.

Germany has a real industrial problem. Its energy-intensive sectors employ close to 1 million people and generate about 17% of industrial gross value added. Output remains roughly 12% below its pre-pandemic level, while energy-intensive production in April 2026 was only 0.9% above a year earlier. Berlin is buying time for weak factories, not rewarding a boom.

The Cost Moves Across Borders

German plants gain first. German taxpayers pay first. The pressure then moves into the Single Market, because competitors sell into the same European supply chains without the same fiscal backing.

Factory power bills are not just wholesale electricity prices. They include network charges, taxes, levies and hedging, meaning advance contracts that protect firms from market swings. France shows the problem: high-voltage network tariffs for users including large industrial consumers will rise by an average 3.34% from 1 August 2026. A French chemicals or steel plant may have access to low-carbon electricity, but it still competes with German sites whose final bill can be cut by federal money.

Italy faces the harder trade-off. Its firms already paid average electricity costs of €278/MWh in 2025, against €242/MWh in Germany, €183/MWh in France and €171/MWh in Spain. Rome can copy the idea, but not easily the scale: Italy’s Parliamentary Budget Office puts the 2026 deficit at 2.9% of GDP and debt at 138.6% of GDP. Matching Germany risks adding debt to solve an energy-cost problem.

Poland sits on both sides of the ledger. German industry buys from Polish suppliers, so keeping German plants open supports orders across the border. But Polish firms using 500-2,000 MWh already face electricity costs of €19.15 per 100 kWh, above the EU average of €18.37. A German subsidy can protect Polish demand upstream while hurting Polish producers downstream.

Sweden’s issue is the rulebook. Southern Sweden’s SE4 power zone has prices roughly at Germany’s level, while Swedish industry wants electrification under stable EU rules. If similar prices meet unequal subsidies, the advantage comes from public budgets, not productivity.

What Still Needs Scrutiny

The full Commission decision authorising cumulation on the same electricity volume remains the key missing document. The general state-aid framework is public, but the German safeguards, beneficiary perimeter and checks are not clear from the available material.

There is also no clean plant-by-plant map of who receives stacked relief. Eurostat warns that non-household electricity prices vary by consumption band and include energy, supply, network costs, taxes and levies, so national averages can hide as much as they reveal.

German steel is already asking for a durable all-in €50/MWh industrial power price. If temporary crisis aid turns into a standing German claim, the Single Market’s scales tilt away from common discipline and toward the member state that can spend most.